1. David Friedman remembers his former colleagues.
4. Chinese local government financing vehicles.
5. “A comparison between estimates of election risk (based on option prices) and actual post-election volatility in stock returns indicates that hedging against election risk has become increasingly costly over time. Finally, an examination of the 2016 presidential election suggests that options markets may provide more reliable estimates of electoral uncertainty than election forecasts based on public opinion polls and/or prediction markets. Link here.
6. Voters don’t seem to hate the idea of nuclear attacks.
7. Scott Sumner’s fun take on his visit to AI circles in SF.
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